This is the first edition of the Phillies mailbag. The mailbag has become a popular thing recently, and I wanted to do my own for the Phillies. Unfortunately, I only had a couple of questions for this week. Although there is just a couple of question, I will answer them. Also, if you read this article and have other Phillies’ questions for me, feel free to send them my way.
First-edition, Question 1:
Firstly, I want to thank Bill or @AvatarJohnson for the question for the first edition of the Phillies mailbag. If you don’t understand the question, he is talking about Bryce Harper. There has been much talk about the contract that Harper will get.
I’ve written before that I would give Harper 10 years worth $400M. I would give him $40M a year for all 10 years. I’m not a fan of back-loading contracts because it eventually hurts the organization in the long run. This was during the 2018 season when there was talk of him getting that much. As we’ve seen with the free agent market this year, teams are not handing out these types of contracts anymore. This could be because of the lack of production from guys like Albert Pujols.
To try and answer Bill’s question of how much Harper’s production is worth in terms of years and money, it’s tough to say. If you look at Harper’s 162 game average, he is hitting .279 with 32 home runs and 91 RBIs. Right there is a bat that you build your team around. When you pair his production with his personality and marketability, he is worth even more.
My final prediction for what the Phillies will offer Harper is still a 10-year contract. However, depending on where the other interested teams are money-wise, I would expect the Phillies to be somewhere in the $350M range. For some of you, most likely Bill, this isn’t going to make you happy. For others, like me, I would be ecstatic with this. Harper is a once in a generation talent who the Phillies would have signed at age 26. Not to mention the fact that the organization locked him up for the entirety of his prime.
This next question comes to us from Alex Mee or @ameener03. Secondly, thank you for your question for the first edition of the Phillies mailbag. I really like Alex’s question. He is asking who are some starting pitchers who the Phillies could sign for cheaper because Dallas Keuchel still hasn’t signed.
The first one that comes to my mind would be Gio Gonzalez. My buddy Josh sent me a tweet today with the same thought.
Gonzalez has a down year in 2018, but he could still fill the need for a lefty starter. He finished 10-11 with a 4.21 ERA, and this was done in 32 games started and 171 innings. Both of these things would substantially help the Phillies. To clarify, a lefty-starter who will consistently give you 30+ starts a season would help.
To try and answer Alex’s question the best I can, I would make an effort to sign the 33-year-old Gonzalez. Honestly, the only other pitcher (who pitched in the MLB last season) that I would be alright if the Phillies went after would be Bartolo Colon.
To sum up, thank you to everyone who read this and sent me questions for the first edition of the Phillies mailbag. If you have a question or comment that you want me to discuss, tweet me or DM me on twitter: @alex_peters20.